Team Projections for the CVC Championships
Sushanth Karri (WWP North) almost catches Dhruv Kumar (WWP South) at the finish in the Colonial Division race at the CVC Divisional Championship on October 16, 2025. | Track Mercer
Two more days until the 2025 CVC Championships! If you weren’t already excited, here is something to get you in the mindset for some friendly competition: team score projections.
First, some notes and caveats about the projections:
Performances at the CVC Divisional Championships get the most weight, but the projections also account for season’s bests (if not from divisionals) as well as times run at Holmdel and Thompson Park this year. To get more of an apples-to-apples comparison for those hilly courses, times at Holmdel and Thompson Park were converted to equivalent performances at Robbinsville based on a rough statistical analysis.
These projections include anyone who has run a 5K at any point this year. So, they might include runners who are currently injured (or who are returning from injury and are saving their next race effort for sectionals). That particularly affects the boys’ team competition — Hopewell Valley, Hightstown, and WWP South all had at least one top runner sit out at divisionals last week, and these projections assume that each of those boys will be back this week, which may not be true.
Results from the Bowdoin Classic (Princeton) and the Manhattan Invitational (WWP North, the Princeton girls, and the Hightstown boys) are not included here. While omitting those meets probably doesn’t change the team scores much for Princeton — most of their mid-pack runners ran at least as well on other courses — it might mean that WWP North and the Hightstown boys are slightly underestimated.
Of course, projections and past results don’t determine who wins the CVC Championship. It’s the performances in the moment and on the course that determine the team standings and who gets the plaques, medals, shirts, and, for the top three teams and individuals, their names written into Mercer County history.
Boys Team Projections
| School | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WW-P North |  | 51 |
| 2 | Princeton |  | 63 |
| 3 | Allentown |  | 79 |
| 4 | Hopewell Valley |  | 111 |
| 5 | WW-P South |  | 116 |
| 6 | Hightstown |  | 167 |
| 7 | Princeton Day |  | 240 |
| 8 | Steinert |  | 243 |
| 9 | Notre Dame |  | 252 |
| 10 | Ewing |  | 269 |
| 11 | Lawrence |  | 284 |
| 12 | Robbinsville |  | 286 |
| 13 | Nottingham |  | 374 |
| 14 | Hamilton West |  | 404 |
| 15 | Trenton |  | 453 |
Girls Team Projections
| School | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princeton | | 29 |
| 2 | WW-P North | | 71 |
| 3 | Hopewell Valley | | 85 |
| 4 | WW-P South | | 133 |
| 5 | Allentown | | 141 |
| 6 | Princeton Day | | 170 |
| 7 | Notre Dame | | 194 |
| 8 | Hightstown | | 204 |
| 9 | Robbinsville | | 234 |
| 10 | Lawrence | | 267 |
| 11 | Steinert | | 362 |